But then I’m old enough to remember the 70’s when the drumbeat of gloom and doom was a coming ice age. Two of the leading “Skeptic sites” are not really skeptics. The official measurement of 108.6 inches at Logan International Airport … Boston's miserable winter is now also its snowiest season going back to 1872.The official measurement of 108.6 inches at Logan International Airport Sunday night topped a season record of 107.6 inches set in 1995-96.The final 2.9 inches came in a snowstorm that was relatively tame after a record-setting monthly snowfall of 64.9 inches in February.The worst previous single month was January 2005, when 43.3 inches fell.This official winter snowfall, measured from December through February this year, was 99.4 inches.
I could go on and on and on with examples of catastrophes and extremes that have not occurred as predicted and in fact it has often turned out the exact reverse of what “many scientists” claimed would happen. Climate scientists have long predicted this.”Like Atlantic Hurricanes that for the last two years have run at historic lows? The current state of climate science — or maybe I should say, how scientists have allowed the media and politicians to portray it — is a continuing source of embarrassment to some of us.
They used to send postcards back and forth, using half-penny stamps (Maxwell was cheap, I suppose, as well as devious).In the preface to “A Treatise on Electricity and Magnetism” Maxwell notes “I take this opportunity of acknowledging my obligations to Sir W. Thompson and to Profesor Tait for many valuable suggestions made during the printing of this work”. BOSTON (CBS) – The first two snow storms of the season in southern New England came back-to-back, from late Sunday until midday Tuesday. At the core is the transformation of folks love of bright sunny days and clean rivers and lakes into “Environmentalism” on a grand popular scale. This means we would have to wait a very long time to observe enough occurrences to see such a trend if that were the case, and we do not have nearly enough data in 100 years to conclude anything. Some of the same scientists back then that were beating those drums are selling their snake oil for the exact opposite today. If we take samples of this statistic (like choosing a snowfall total for a given year) on average it will be the mean, but individual values will deviate from the mean by an amount proportional to the standard deviation.Now suppose you **change** the distribution so that the mean decreases but the standard deviation increases. The numbers and properties below I can only vouch for in the case of the Central Park Data, but I have seen virtually the same phenomena in many datasets at which I have looked.
But for who?
It’s official: Boston has set a new record for snowiest season.
The “environmental” science was shoddy often faked though traditional scientists didn’t want to say so right out loud. The job you and others do to keep science alive is a real service to science and your fellow citizens who wish to be informed.
I asked him about last year and he said it was brutal, 60 to 70 below. if they came from a normal distribution) would be about 1/370 versus 1/70 per 5 years. Here are the latest snowfall … For instance, if my daughter gets pregnant, it had to do with it being a nice spring day, due to global warming.
You need to put a /sarc tag on your comment because your sarcasm is too subtle.
This is the best the test can do, it doesnt get any more normal.
Like massive crop failures?
the log depth is equally likely to be normal as not, according to the test. On Sunday, Boston officially broke its seasonal snowfall record with 108.6 inches, the most white stuff to fall in one season since officials began keeping records in 1872. Happened back during the Nixon Administration.
Yes. March 1993 had 38.9 inches, and March 1916 had 33.
The answer is yes. The point is that the very low end tail of the depth distribution is losing members.) The standard deviation is only correlated with the mean, as it should be. There are enough biases floating around in the climate discussion without introducing statistical ones.I am in Fairbanks, AK tonight doing Army work for the next week. The sad state of affairs is that popularly “everybody knows” DDT was bad for the environment. Are you concerned about funding for satellite research getting cut?
The first problem with this argument is that even if this calculation of mean and sigma were correct (and it is not, more on that later), and the sigma increased by 20 or 30 percent, as it appears to, then the probability of the same value of snow depth that was 3 sigma previously would go to perhaps 2.1 sigma, and the chances of such values occurring by chance (i.e. That is the most comprehensive list I have ever seen! It is long, but at least read the conclusion.Progress is slow for science mainly because an awful lot of nonsense is promoted as “scientific”. Snowfall Obliterates Records In Boston: 'Another Winter Storm?!'
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